|
Forecast |
Rating |
|
Open Position |
No
Position |
| Up |
* |
10% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the advance |
Close
Long |
Neutral |
| Up |
* * |
30% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the advance |
Stay
Long |
Neutral |
| Up |
* * * |
50% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the advance |
Stay
Long |
Neutral |
| Up |
* * * * |
75% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the advance |
Stay
Long |
Buy |
| Up |
* * * * * |
90% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the advance |
Stay
Long |
Buy |
| Down |
* |
10% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the decline |
Close
Short |
Neutral |
| Down |
* * |
30% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the decline |
Stay
Short |
Neutral |
| Down |
* * * |
50% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the decline |
Stay
Short |
Neutral |
| Down |
* * * * |
75% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the decline |
Stay
Short |
Sell |
| Down |
* * * * * |
90% probability that the share price
is at the
start of the decline |
Stay
Short |
Sell |