What the ratings mean

Forecast Rating   Open Position No Position
Up * 10% probability that the share price is at the start of the advance Close Long Neutral
Up * * 30% probability that the share price is at the start of the advance Stay Long Neutral
Up * * * 50% probability that the share price is at the start of the advance Stay Long Neutral
Up * * * * 75% probability that the share price is at the start of the advance Stay Long Buy
Up * * * * * 90% probability that the share price is at the start of the advance Stay Long Buy
Down * 10% probability that the share price is at the start of the decline Close Short Neutral
Down * * 30% probability that the share price is at the start of the decline Stay Short Neutral
Down * * * 50% probability that the share price is at the start of the decline Stay Short Neutral
Down * * * * 75% probability that the share price is at the start of the decline Stay Short Sell
Down * * * * * 90% probability that the share price is at the start of the decline Stay Short Sell

 

1. Forecast: down

 

 
 
 
 
 

The decline is nearing an end

 

The decline is not yet over.

 
 

 

 
 
 

A decline may start from higher levels

 

A decline is imminent

 
 

2. Forecast: up

 

 
 
 
The advance is nearing an end   The advance is not yet over
 
 

 

 
 
 
The advance may start from lower levels   An advance is imminent
 
 

 

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